Pre-tourney Rankings
St. John's
Big East
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.0#73
Expected Predictive Rating+9.6#56
Pace75.4#43
Improvement-5.8#338

Offense
Total Offense+4.3#65
First Shot+4.9#45
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#217
Layup/Dunks+2.9#68
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#137
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#111
Freethrows-0.3#210
Improvement-4.6#333

Defense
Total Defense+2.7#102
First Shot+2.1#106
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#106
Layups/Dunks+1.7#96
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#33
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#220
Freethrows-0.9#238
Improvement-1.2#240
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 42.5% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 42.5% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four19.9% n/a n/a
First Round30.4% n/a n/a
Second Round7.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.2% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1.0 - 2.01.0 - 2.0
Quad 1b4.0 - 5.05.0 - 7.0
Quad 25.0 - 3.010.0 - 10.0
Quad 33.0 - 2.013.0 - 12.0
Quad 48.0 - 0.021.0 - 12.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 273   Loyola Maryland W 76-55 93%     1 - 0 +11.8 -10.6 +20.1
  Nov 09, 2018 112   Bowling Green W 84-80 70%     2 - 0 +5.4 +3.0 +2.0
  Nov 16, 2018 74   @ Rutgers W 84-65 40%     3 - 0 +28.6 +16.3 +11.8
  Nov 19, 2018 231   California W 82-79 85%     4 - 0 -1.0 +9.3 -10.2
  Nov 20, 2018 44   Virginia Commonwealth W 87-86 OT 36%     5 - 0 +11.6 +8.9 +2.5
  Nov 27, 2018 352   Maryland Eastern Shore W 85-64 99%     6 - 0 -2.2 -1.0 -2.2
  Dec 01, 2018 100   Georgia Tech W 76-73 58%     7 - 0 +7.8 +7.7 +0.1
  Dec 05, 2018 327   Mount St. Mary's W 85-71 96%     8 - 0 -0.1 +5.8 -6.0
  Dec 09, 2018 173   Princeton W 89-74 84%     9 - 0 +11.5 +9.1 +1.0
  Dec 16, 2018 314   Wagner W 73-58 95%     10 - 0 +2.9 -3.4 +6.3
  Dec 19, 2018 285   St. Francis Brooklyn W 86-52 93%     11 - 0 +24.3 +7.0 +15.8
  Dec 22, 2018 246   Sacred Heart W 104-82 91%     12 - 0 +14.1 +12.5 -1.1
  Dec 29, 2018 50   @ Seton Hall L 74-76 30%     12 - 1 0 - 1 +10.5 +2.8 +7.9
  Jan 01, 2019 27   Marquette W 89-69 36%     13 - 1 1 - 1 +30.7 +17.7 +12.3
  Jan 05, 2019 76   @ Georgetown W 97-94 OT 41%     14 - 1 2 - 1 +12.2 +11.6 +0.1
  Jan 08, 2019 24   @ Villanova L 71-76 19%     14 - 2 2 - 2 +11.4 +6.9 +4.3
  Jan 12, 2019 91   DePaul L 71-79 66%     14 - 3 2 - 3 -5.4 -5.7 +0.7
  Jan 16, 2019 49   Creighton W 81-66 49%     15 - 3 3 - 3 +22.3 +12.7 +10.0
  Jan 19, 2019 69   @ Butler L 71-80 38%     15 - 4 3 - 4 +1.0 -2.3 +3.8
  Jan 27, 2019 76   Georgetown L 78-89 63%     15 - 5 3 - 5 -7.3 -7.2 +1.8
  Jan 30, 2019 49   @ Creighton W 83-67 28%     16 - 5 4 - 5 +28.9 +12.5 +15.8
  Feb 02, 2019 3   @ Duke L 61-91 5%     16 - 6 -4.7 -4.7 +2.7
  Feb 05, 2019 27   @ Marquette W 70-69 19%     17 - 6 5 - 5 +17.2 +8.5 +8.8
  Feb 09, 2019 64   Providence L 56-70 58%     17 - 7 5 - 6 -9.0 -6.1 -4.2
  Feb 12, 2019 69   Butler W 77-73 OT 60%     18 - 7 6 - 6 +8.5 -2.3 +10.4
  Feb 17, 2019 24   Villanova W 71-65 35%     19 - 7 7 - 6 +16.9 +1.0 +15.8
  Feb 20, 2019 64   @ Providence L 59-78 36%     19 - 8 7 - 7 -8.5 -7.8 +0.2
  Feb 23, 2019 50   Seton Hall W 78-70 50%     20 - 8 8 - 7 +15.0 +6.2 +8.4
  Feb 28, 2019 60   Xavier L 73-84 56%     20 - 9 8 - 8 -5.7 +6.7 -13.1
  Mar 03, 2019 91   @ DePaul L 83-92 45%     20 - 10 8 - 9 -0.8 +11.9 -12.7
  Mar 09, 2019 60   @ Xavier L 68-81 35%     20 - 11 8 - 10 -2.1 +7.2 -10.8
  Mar 13, 2019 91   DePaul W 82-74 66%     21 - 11 +10.6 +0.0 +9.8
  Mar 14, 2019 27   Marquette L 54-86 36%     21 - 12 -21.3 -15.2 -5.6
Projected Record 21.0 - 12.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 42.5% 42.5% 10.8 0.0 1.0 9.4 27.2 4.9 57.5 42.5%
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 42.5% 0.0% 42.5% 10.8 0.0 1.0 9.4 27.2 4.9 57.5 42.5%